Plus, Kacey Musgraves and Rich the Kid aiming for top 10 bows.
The Weeknd’s surprise album, My Dear Melancholy, is aiming for No. 1 on next week’s Billboard 200 chart.
According to industry forecasters, the set — which was released on March 30 XO/Republic Records — may earn around 150,000 equivalent album units in the week ending April 5.
The six-song album appeared with little warning, following a cryptic Instagram post on March 27, which led to a confirmation an album two days later.
The Billboard 200 chart ranks the most popular albums the week based on multi-metric consumption, which includes traditional album sales, track equivalent albums (TEA) and streaming equivalent albums (SEA). The top 10 the new April 14-dated Billboard 200 chart (where The Weeknd will likely debut at No. 1) is scheduled to be revealed on Billboard’s websites on Sunday, April 8.
If My Dear Melancholy arrives at No. 1, it will give The Weeknd his third consecutive chart topper. It would follow his previous leaders, 2016’s Starboy and 2015’s Beauty Behind the Madness. Starboy bowed with 348,000 units in its first week, according to Nielsen Music ( which 209,000 were in traditional album sales), while Beauty Behind the Madness launched with 412,000 units (326,000 in album sales). Both titles were available in their first weeks on streaming services, and at retail as a digital album and CD.
My Dear Melancholy is currently only available streamers and as a digital album. A CD version the set is expected in the coming weeks.
Also on course for top 10 debuts next week: Rich the Kid’s The World Is Yours and Kacey Musgraves’ Golden Hour. The former may bow with perhaps 50,000 units, while the latter could enter with 40,000 units.